Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.140828 0.160090 0.181398 0.206782 0.236279 0.269574 0.310138
2026-02-01 0.109028 0.134374 0.165113 0.205416 0.257275 0.322310 0.410911
2026-02-08 0.089861 0.117371 0.153036 0.203237 0.273004 0.367908 0.509154
2026-02-15 0.076716 0.104864 0.143327 0.200641 0.285451 0.408860 0.606786
2026-02-22 0.069075 0.098201 0.139866 0.205144 0.307305 0.465319 0.736823
2026-03-01 0.061181 0.089867 0.132506 0.202204 0.316643 0.503270 0.844007
2026-03-08 0.055529 0.084019 0.127871 0.202409 0.330378 0.549734 0.974124
2026-03-15 0.050754 0.078874 0.123546 0.202239 0.343022 0.595823 1.112466
2026-03-22 0.047580 0.075863 0.122188 0.206677 0.364068 0.660033 1.299156
2026-03-29 0.044558 0.072734 0.120194 0.209585 0.382519 0.722179 1.495328
2026-04-05 0.041834 0.069794 0.118141 0.212002 0.400207 0.785596 1.708794
2026-04-12 0.039768 0.067769 0.117435 0.216768 0.423131 0.863660 1.974838
2026-04-19 0.037247 0.064734 0.114660 0.217333 0.437898 0.927804 2.226624
2026-04-26 0.034866 0.061733 0.111645 0.217055 0.450913 0.990734 2.493586
2026-05-03 0.032519 0.058569 0.107982 0.214945 0.459505 1.044892 2.752350
2026-05-10 0.030345 0.055536 0.104259 0.212216 0.466212 1.095689 3.016476
2026-05-17 0.029163 0.054316 0.104020 0.217023 0.491491 1.198746 3.470206
2026-05-24 0.027309 0.051598 0.100445 0.213891 0.496819 1.250084 3.776528
2026-05-31 0.025929 0.049718 0.098438 0.214109 0.510661 1.327774 4.197522
2026-06-07 0.024629 0.047893 0.096371 0.213929 0.523455 1.405268 4.645666
2026-06-14 0.023830 0.047047 0.096341 0.218660 0.550239 1.530287 5.318020
2026-06-21 0.022956 0.045967 0.095687 0.221760 0.573074 1.648561 6.012621
2026-06-28 0.022102 0.044860 0.094866 0.224337 0.594902 1.768934 6.767856